The China Factor For Investment Concerns

By Georgia Lucas


Unless you've been in a cocoon, you most probably know that China will in all chance become the following business superpower in the world. The states economy is on steroids, growing at close to double digits during the last couple of years and this is not expected to change.

And if you understand the gigantic size of the nations industrial engine, you would also understand that China is a place where you have to have some capital invested. Naturally, simultaneously, you must also understand the danger factors associated in investing in a place where the economy and corporate structure is strictly under the control of the communist-led state.

The idea of an open economy in China is subject to debate as there's the constant threat of government intervention at any time to fit the political agenda. Yet the risk is perhaps guaranteed given the gigantic expansion opportunities that lie in the country for both multi-national companies and investors looking for some diversification outside of their borders. This region of the planet will become the next big boom in economic growth so long as the Chinese government is prepared.

A communication just released by the Development Research Center of China's State Council guesstimates that the country will report GDP growth of approximately 8% yearly from 2006 to 2010. Based mostly on the numbers we have been seeing, this estimation seems to be reasonable.

The report guesses that China's GDP primarily based on 2000 prices will hit USD$2.3 trillion by the end of the current five-year period in 2010.

In the successive 10-year period from 2010 to 2020, the report figures out a fall in the yearly GDP growth rate to round about 7%, which is still quite respectable.

For speculators, the approximate numbers are amazing but then China must be able to manage any inflationary and growth-related issues going forward as the country becomes richer.

The country's middle class of one or two hundred million strong is exploding as residents move from the country to the towns looking for opportunities to increase their wealth.

As Chinese citizens earn more cash, they become even more consumption driven. This in turn pumps up the requirement for both foreign and domestic good and services. That?s why we are seeing such a mass flow of firms into China looking for expansion possibilities.

The bottomline is you have to be in China at some point. In future commentaries, I will examine some of the key Chinese stocks trading as American Repository Bills (ADRs) in the U.S.




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